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Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Hurricane Sandy and A Short Economic Report

Happy Halloween,

The markets reopened for business today, after one of the worst storms in history devastated the east coast by way of strong winds, heavy rains, power outages, flooding and snow. The storm caused the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) to close for two consecutive days for the first time since 1888 due to weather, leaving Manhattan underwater, and seven million people without power across seven states.  “Frankenstorm” Sandy shut down businesses indefinitely in one of the nation’s most populated and productive regions, creating concern that U.S. economic growth in the fourth quarter may be stumped.

The Bond Market, including mortgage-backed securities, closed at 9 a.m. on Monday and remained closed on Tuesday.  As a result, a majority of investors closed their commitment desks and those who remained open priced very defensively. 

In terms of U.S. economic news, early reports this morning show that U.S. mortgage applications declined 4.8% in the week ending October 26th, as interest rates climbed. Refinance activity fell 6% while purchase applications increased 0.5%.  This morning’s remaining U.S. economic data includes 3Q Employment Cost Index, October Milwaukee Purchasers Manufacturing Index and October Chicago Purchasing Manager report. This week, market participants will focus on Friday’s jobs report that could affect the close U.S. presidential elections.  After some initial concerns after the storm, the Labor Department says the payrolls report will be released as scheduled.

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