The stock market futures
as of Friday morning are in negative territory primarily based upon news that
Cyprus, (yes, that little known country that created market chaos last month)
has indicated that they will need more money for the bailout. I personally do
not understand why the markets would be concerned over this news for two simple
reasons, and I am not being sarcastic.
First, history has taught
us that bailouts always require more money than additionally requested. Second,
they will get the money because the banking system will not be allowed to fail
in Cyprus. These types of events have become normal operating procedure for
every country that has faced a financial crisis in the last 3 years.
On Wednesday, the FOMC
minutes were released and gave additional support for the stock market rally.
Most members of the FOMC feel that the QE3 stimulus program is working and
indicated that they are not ready to pull back on it.
Mortgage rates had been
declining for about a week, and although they are not back to historic levels,
they certainly have stimulated more refinances. The Mortgage Bankers
Association reported that refinances for the prior week jumped 6%. Purchase
applications unfortunately continue to remain stagnant. Most experts believe
that the cause is not so much related to interest rates, but more so impacted
by so many markets around the country having a shortage of inventory for sale.
The good news relating to
the housing market is that in the last week the main stream media has
significantly increased their reports on the improving housing market. Like
with everything else the media impacts, the media can create movement in the
housing market because the more they report on positive events and data, the
more consumers will respond to take advantage of the rising home prices.
For those of you in the
mortgage profession, real estate profession, or homeowner thinking of selling,
it is my opinion that you should get ready for the market to start heating up.
We have many positive things happening simultaneously. Housing reports are
showing significant improvement in property values, the media is helping fuel
housing demand, and we are entering the Spring selling season. All of these
factors together stand to push housing to higher levels, as it is more and more
likely that sellers that have been waiting will now start to place their homes
for sale on the market.
The economic calendar for
next week will provide some potential market movers :
- Tuesday April 15th - Consumer Price Index, Housing Starts and Industrial Production
- Wednesday April 16th - MBA Applications
- Thursday April 18th - First Time Jobless
Claims and GDP
Sincerely,
Cindy Tomlinson
Loan Officer
Loan Officer
USLending Company
DRE Lic # 01520422
NMLS # 214851
NMLS # 214851
No comments:
Post a Comment