You may be reading this and
thinking that investor behavior just doesn’t make any sense. The reality is that investors cheered the
weak GDP report because they want to believe that the poor report is enough to
get the Fed to delay their reduction in their bond buying program and stimulus
withdrawal. The question that remains is
how investors can draw this conclusion on a single economic report, plus the
fact that the Fed did not give a definitive time table for the tapering of the
program?
Housing just keeps
rocking. Mortgage rates have receded off
of their large increases over the last couple of weeks giving mortgage lenders
a breather from the panic that has set in for most of them. Reality has finally sunk in that the
refinance boom is over. The good news is
that the increase in rates has sparked fence sitting buyers to take action on
purchases. Application for purchase loans increased 2.0% while refinances declined by 5%.
Home prices showed positive
increases in four major housing reports released on Tuesday. The Federal Housing Finance Agency reported
that home prices rose .7% for the month of April on single family homes that
were purchased with a Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac loan.
The S&P Case-Shiller Home
Value Index showed that because of a shortage of housing inventory along with a
sense of panic about rising rates, home prices are rising rapidly. The Case-Shiller 20 city index rose 1.7% for
the month of April which follows March’s increase of 1.9%. Additionally home prices are up 12% from the
same time last year. Home price gains
are occurring in every part of the country in all major cities. The West is the strongest growth area with
monthly gains averaging 3% and the annual increase is currently at 20%
The third report for the week
related to housing is new home sales.
The expected annual pace for new construction was 460,000 units per
year. The report shows that the pace of construction
and sales is on target for 476,000 which is over 3% higher than
anticipated. Additionally, builders are
increasing the pace of construction in an attempt to keep up with rising
demand.
The final housing report for
the week was pending homes sales. This
index rose a whopping 6.7% with the largest increase in activity occurring in
the west and Midwest.
Market moving reports for
next week are:
- Monday July 1st – ISM Manufacturing Index and
Construction Spending
- Tuesday July 2nd – Factory Orders
- Wednesday July 3rd - MBA Applications and ADP
Employment Report
- Thursday July 4th – Independence Day Holiday – Markets
Closed
- Friday July 5th – National Unemployment and First Time
Jobless Claims
Sincerely,
Cindy Tomlinson
Loan Officer
Loan Officer
USLending Company
DRE Lic # 01520422
NMLS # 214851
NMLS # 214851
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